6 Comments
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DIY Investor's avatar

Clear thesis! It is reasonably valued with 25% projected FCF growth in the next 5 years.

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Arny Trezzi's avatar

Love this asymmetric format, great points!

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Schwar Capital's avatar

Thanks Arny!

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Ed Taylor's avatar

When you say “intrinsic value estimates based on a 10% discount rate and a 5-year timeframe” is that:

5 years of compounding 25% FCF growth then flat lines? For how long?

Or 5 years of full DCF model and terminal value 0 at year 6?

Perhaps just layout the middle case calc for clarity?

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Siddharth Bothra's avatar

What is the US / Non US revenue bifurcation? And what is Uber’s market share in the ride hailing biz?

Great article, keep it up bud 💪

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Schwar Capital's avatar

LTM, Uber generated $22.539 billion from the US and Canada. The remaining came from other regions:

- Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA): $11.777 billion

- Latin America (LATAM): $2.746 billion

- Asia-Pacific (APAC): $4.893 billion

This means approximately 54% of Uber's revenue came from the US and Canada, while 46% came from international markets.

As of 2022, Uber had a 25% global market share for ride-hailing, making it the largest player worldwide but we cannot find any more up to data than that.

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